De'Anthony Melton — Points
Projection 8.9
+0.45pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+10648.5%49¢
against
Hard Rock Bet's
+10548.8%49¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (10.5)
Teal bars cleared 10.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
De'Anthony Melton Points 10.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 46.9% against 54.1% (an edge of -7.2 points) and is now 49.0% against 49.8% (-0.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 12:00 PM | 46.9% | 54.1% | -7.2 |
| Oct 26, 12:20 PM | 47.2% | 51.5% | -4.3 |
| Oct 26, 1:00 PM | 46.9% | 51.0% | -4.1 |
| Oct 26, 5:40 PM | 51.0% | 51.4% | -0.4 |
| Oct 26, 5:50 PM | 52.1% | 55.8% | -3.7 |
| Oct 26, 6:50 PM | 50.8% | 55.0% | -4.2 |
| Oct 26, 7:10 PM | 49.2% | 54.1% | -4.9 |
| Oct 26, 7:30 PM | 49.2% | 51.9% | -2.7 |
| Oct 26, 7:50 PM | 48.3% | 51.7% | -3.4 |
| Oct 26, 8:10 PM | 49.0% | 53.7% | -4.7 |
| Oct 26, 10:20 PM | 49.0% | 53.9% | -4.9 |
| Oct 26, 10:30 PM | 49.6% | 50.5% | -0.9 |
| Oct 26, 8:03 PM | 49.0% | 49.8% | -0.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
10.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 4h ago | |
 Bovada
|
10.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 5h ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 10.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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