Paul George — Points Rebounds Assists
Projection 24.2
+1.67pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+11646.3%46¢
against
Hard Rock Bet's
-10551.2%51¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (26.5)
Teal bars cleared 26.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Paul George Points Rebounds Assists 26.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 55.4% against 57.1% (an edge of -1.7 points) and is now 48.2% against 47.2% (1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 7:30 AM | 55.4% | 57.1% | -1.7 |
| Oct 27, 2:10 PM | 50.0% | 55.9% | -5.9 |
| Oct 27, 2:20 PM | 52.1% | 61.3% | -9.2 |
| Oct 27, 2:30 PM | 52.0% | 56.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 27, 2:40 PM | 50.3% | 55.9% | -5.6 |
| Oct 27, 3:00 PM | 52.0% | 55.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 27, 3:10 PM | 50.5% | 57.0% | -6.5 |
| Oct 27, 4:10 PM | 51.0% | 55.6% | -4.6 |
| Oct 27, 4:20 PM | 49.0% | 60.3% | -11.3 |
| Oct 27, 4:30 PM | 51.4% | 51.5% | -0.1 |
| Oct 27, 4:40 PM | 51.0% | 58.5% | -7.5 |
| Oct 27, 4:50 PM | 49.7% | 51.0% | -1.3 |
| Oct 27, 5:00 PM | 49.2% | 45.9% | 3.3 |
| Oct 27, 5:10 PM | 48.1% | 45.7% | 2.4 |
| Oct 27, 5:20 PM | 48.0% | 44.4% | 3.6 |
| Oct 27, 6:00 PM | 48.0% | 45.9% | 2.1 |
| Oct 27, 6:20 PM | 48.2% | 45.0% | 3.2 |
| Oct 27, 6:30 PM | 49.7% | 45.9% | 3.8 |
| Oct 27, 6:40 PM | 49.5% | 45.5% | 4 |
| Oct 27, 7:30 PM | 49.0% | 47.2% | 1.8 |
| Oct 27, 7:40 PM | 48.0% | 46.8% | 1.2 |
| Oct 27, 7:50 PM | 48.6% | 47.2% | 1.4 |
| Oct 27, 8:10 PM | 47.5% | 47.2% | 0.3 |
| Oct 27, 4:45 PM | 48.2% | 47.2% | 1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetRivers
|
26.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 9m ago | ||
 Bovada
|
26.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 58m ago | ||
|
Bovada
|
28.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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