Paul George — Points Assists
Projection 19.4
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (21.5)
Teal bars cleared 21.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Paul George Points Assists 21.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.5% against 50.0% (an edge of 1.5 points) and is now 50.0% against 51.2% (-1.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 4:40 PM | 51.5% | 50.0% | 1.5 |
| Oct 27, 4:50 PM | 49.0% | 51.0% | -2 |
| Oct 27, 5:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 27, 5:10 PM | 49.7% | 50.7% | -1 |
| Oct 27, 5:20 PM | 49.5% | 50.5% | -1 |
| Oct 27, 5:30 PM | 49.0% | 50.0% | -1 |
| Oct 27, 5:40 PM | 48.6% | 49.5% | -0.9 |
| Oct 27, 5:50 PM | 50.0% | 49.5% | 0.5 |
| Oct 27, 6:00 PM | 49.9% | 50.3% | -0.4 |
| Oct 27, 6:20 PM | 48.3% | 50.4% | -2.1 |
| Oct 27, 6:30 PM | 50.7% | 50.6% | 0.1 |
| Oct 27, 6:50 PM | 51.2% | 52.6% | -1.4 |
| Oct 27, 7:20 PM | 47.2% | 50.9% | -3.7 |
| Oct 27, 7:30 PM | 52.0% | 50.8% | 1.2 |
| Oct 27, 7:40 PM | 50.0% | 50.4% | -0.4 |
| Oct 27, 7:50 PM | 47.6% | 50.2% | -2.6 |
| Oct 27, 8:30 PM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
| Oct 27, 8:50 PM | 49.0% | 50.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 27, 9:00 PM | 48.5% | 50.2% | -1.7 |
| Oct 27, 9:10 PM | 50.9% | 50.7% | 0.2 |
| Oct 27, 9:20 PM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 27, 9:40 PM | 49.0% | 51.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 27, 5:44 PM | 50.0% | 51.2% | -1.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bovada
|
21.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 16m ago | ||
| Courtside | 21.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 29m ago | ||
 Unibet
|
21.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Unibet last repriced this 24m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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