Payton Pritchard — Threes

Projection 2.3

Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)

Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).

Payton Pritchard Threes 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 47.2% against 50.0% (an edge of -2.8 points) and is now 51.3% against 53.1% (-1.8 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time	Book consensus, de-vigged	Prediction market	Edge in percentage points
Oct 27, 5:30 AM	47.2%	50.0%	-2.8
Oct 27, 5:40 AM	48.0%	51.9%	-3.9
Oct 27, 5:50 AM	51.9%	49.0%	2.9
Oct 27, 6:00 AM	46.9%	50.7%	-3.8
Oct 27, 6:40 AM	53.2%	48.5%	4.7
Oct 27, 7:00 AM	49.3%	55.0%	-5.7
Oct 27, 7:10 AM	49.7%	54.5%	-4.8
Oct 27, 7:30 AM	50.0%	55.8%	-5.8
Oct 27, 7:40 AM	49.0%	54.8%	-5.8
Oct 27, 8:20 AM	50.0%	55.9%	-5.9
Oct 27, 9:30 AM	49.0%	55.9%	-6.9
Oct 27, 10:20 AM	49.0%	53.9%	-4.9
Oct 27, 10:40 AM	50.0%	53.9%	-3.9
Oct 27, 11:50 AM	50.8%	55.9%	-5.1
Oct 27, 12:00 PM	50.0%	56.5%	-6.5
Oct 27, 12:20 PM	51.0%	54.5%	-3.5
Oct 27, 12:30 PM	51.5%	53.9%	-2.4
Oct 27, 12:40 PM	49.0%	53.6%	-4.6
Oct 27, 12:50 PM	49.5%	52.6%	-3.1
Oct 27, 1:00 PM	49.0%	53.9%	-4.9
Oct 27, 1:10 PM	50.3%	53.5%	-3.2
Oct 27, 1:20 PM	49.2%	55.5%	-6.3
Oct 27, 1:40 PM	48.8%	50.9%	-2.1
Oct 27, 1:50 PM	50.3%	57.6%	-7.3
Oct 27, 2:10 PM	50.7%	60.0%	-9.3
Oct 27, 2:20 PM	50.3%	55.7%	-5.4
Oct 27, 2:30 PM	50.5%	53.9%	-3.4
Oct 27, 2:40 PM	49.1%	53.5%	-4.4
Oct 27, 2:50 PM	49.0%	55.9%	-6.9
Oct 27, 3:00 PM	49.5%	53.1%	-3.6
Oct 27, 3:10 PM	50.5%	54.6%	-4.1
Oct 27, 3:20 PM	48.0%	54.6%	-6.6
Oct 27, 3:40 PM	50.0%	55.1%	-5.1
Oct 27, 3:50 PM	50.7%	54.5%	-3.8
Oct 27, 4:00 PM	51.6%	54.5%	-2.9
Oct 27, 4:10 PM	51.8%	57.6%	-5.8
Oct 27, 4:20 PM	50.7%	57.0%	-6.3
Oct 27, 4:30 PM	52.7%	55.9%	-3.2
Oct 27, 4:40 PM	53.7%	54.8%	-1.1
Oct 27, 4:50 PM	52.0%	55.0%	-3
Oct 27, 5:00 PM	51.2%	55.9%	-4.7
Oct 27, 5:10 PM	51.4%	55.6%	-4.2
Oct 27, 5:20 PM	52.0%	54.3%	-2.3
Oct 27, 5:40 PM	51.0%	54.2%	-3.2
Oct 27, 5:50 PM	52.0%	55.0%	-3
Oct 27, 6:00 PM	51.9%	54.7%	-2.8
Oct 27, 6:10 PM	53.7%	54.8%	-1.1
Oct 27, 6:20 PM	53.4%	53.5%	-0.1
Oct 27, 6:40 PM	51.0%	53.2%	-2.2
Oct 27, 6:50 PM	52.0%	53.1%	-1.1
Oct 27, 7:00 PM	51.1%	52.8%	-1.7
Oct 27, 7:10 PM	51.4%	52.8%	-1.4
Oct 27, 7:20 PM	51.9%	54.8%	-2.9
Oct 27, 7:30 PM	54.4%	54.5%	-0.1
Oct 27, 7:40 PM	51.9%	54.3%	-2.4
Oct 27, 7:50 PM	51.0%	53.7%	-2.7
Oct 27, 8:10 PM	50.9%	53.6%	-2.7
Oct 27, 8:30 PM	54.7%	52.6%	2.1
Oct 27, 4:43 PM	51.3%	53.1%	-1.8

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Every venue pricing Payton Pritchard Threes
Venue	Line	Over	Under	Vs best	Age
BetMGM	2.5	-120 54.5%	-110 52.4%	Premium to see the gap to the best price	BetMGM last repriced this 3h ago
BetRivers	2.5	-143 58.8%	+105 48.8%	Premium to see the gap to the best price	BetRivers last repriced this 7m ago
Hard Rock Bet	3.5	+190 34.5%	-240 70.6%	Premium to see the gap to the best price	Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 3h ago

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium

30 more books behind Premium

Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.

Go Premium

All Threes props Prop Edge Tool

Updated 8 minutes ago.