Projection 21.7
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (23.5)
Teal bars cleared 23.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Payton Pritchard Points Rebounds Assists 23.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 53.3% against 57.0% (an edge of -3.7 points) and is now 51.6% against 53.9% (-2.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2:20 PM | 53.3% | 57.0% | -3.7 |
| Oct 27, 3:00 PM | 54.9% | 55.9% | -1 |
| Oct 27, 3:30 PM | 50.5% | 55.6% | -5.1 |
| Oct 27, 3:40 PM | 51.0% | 55.6% | -4.6 |
| Oct 27, 4:00 PM | 54.0% | 55.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 27, 4:10 PM | 50.6% | 55.8% | -5.2 |
| Oct 27, 4:20 PM | 51.9% | 57.0% | -5.1 |
| Oct 27, 4:30 PM | 54.3% | 56.3% | -2 |
| Oct 27, 4:40 PM | 56.3% | 55.6% | 0.7 |
| Oct 27, 4:50 PM | 50.6% | 56.0% | -5.4 |
| Oct 27, 5:00 PM | 51.0% | 54.8% | -3.8 |
| Oct 27, 5:10 PM | 52.1% | 54.1% | -2 |
| Oct 27, 5:20 PM | 52.0% | 55.0% | -3 |
| Oct 27, 5:30 PM | 51.0% | 55.0% | -4 |
| Oct 27, 6:00 PM | 52.0% | 53.1% | -1.1 |
| Oct 27, 6:20 PM | 51.9% | 54.3% | -2.4 |
| Oct 27, 6:30 PM | 52.2% | 54.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 27, 6:50 PM | 51.0% | 54.0% | -3 |
| Oct 27, 7:00 PM | 50.3% | 53.9% | -3.6 |
| Oct 27, 3:05 PM | 51.6% | 53.9% | -2.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
23.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 3m ago | ||
|
|
23.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 28m ago | ||
| Stoiximan | 24.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Stoiximan last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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