Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 1 of 10 (10%).
Javier Baez RBIs 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 18.3% against 23.0% (an edge of -4.7 points) and is now 5.9% against 94.0% (-88.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 12:20 AM | 18.3% | 23.0% | -4.7 |
| Sep 18, 12:30 AM | 23.6% | 21.0% | 2.6 |
| Sep 18, 12:40 AM | 16.6% | 17.0% | -0.4 |
| Sep 18, 12:50 AM | 14.4% | 95.0% | -80.6 |
| Sep 18, 1:00 AM | 14.0% | 16.0% | -2 |
| Sep 18, 1:10 AM | 12.5% | 15.0% | -2.5 |
| Sep 18, 1:20 AM | 10.4% | 14.0% | -3.6 |
| Sep 18, 1:30 AM | 8.6% | 95.0% | -86.4 |
| Sep 18, 1:40 AM | 8.5% | 30.0% | -21.5 |
| Sep 18, 1:50 AM | 6.7% | 95.0% | -88.3 |
| Sep 18, 2:00 AM | 5.9% | 94.0% | -88.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 17m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with PremiumUpdated 17 minutes ago.